Non-optimal and optimal fractional control analysis of measles using real data
No Thumbnail Available
Date
2024-07
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Elsevier
Abstract
This study employs fractional, non-optimal, and optimal control techniques to analyze measles transmission
dynamics using real-world data. Thus, we develop a fractional-order compartmental model capturing measles
transmission dynamics. We then formulate an optimal control problem to minimize the disease burden while
considering constraints such as vaccination resources and intervention costs. The proposed modelโs positivity,
boundedness, measles reproduction number, and stability are obtained. The sensitivity analysis using the partial
rank correlation coefficient is shown for the fractional orders of 0.99 and 0.90. It is noticed that the rate
of recruitment into the susceptible population (๐), the rate at which individuals in the latent class become
asymptomatic (๐ผ1), and the transmission rate (๐ฝ) contribute positively to the spread of the disease, while the
rate at which individuals in the asymptomatic class become symptomatic (๐ผ2), the vaccination rate for the first
measles dose (๐พ1), and the rate at which individuals in the latent class recover from measles (๐ฟ1) contribute
significantly to the reduction of measles in the community. Utilizing numerical simulations and sensitivity
analyses, we identify optimal control strategies that balance the trade-offs between intervention efficacy,
resource allocation, and societal costs. Our findings provide insights into the effectiveness of fractional optimal
control strategies in mitigating measles outbreaks and contribute to developing more robust and adaptive
disease control policies in real-world scenarios.
Description
This article is published by Elsevier 2024 and is also available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.imu.2024.101548
Keywords
Citation
Informatics in Medicine Unlocked 49 (2024) 101548